New study predicts surge in COVID-19 cases after Labor Day weekend

Watch: Health officials concerned with possible COVID-19 spike after Labor Day

MEMPHIS,Tenn. — A new model out today from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics predicts more than 410,000 people could die from COVID-19 by the end of the year.

With Labor Day Weekend, many health experts don’t see this as a time to celebrate.

Health experts are on edge as they brace for another potential surge in COVID cases from a holiday weekend.

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“If things are really bad this weekend we could see what we saw in July,” said Sandy Arnold, MD/Le Bonheur Children’s Office Chief of Pediatric Infections.

Following the fourth of July, the country and our region saw a surge in COVID cases because many people went to parties and did not follow CDC guidelines.

“This virus isn’t going anywhere. We need to be able to live our lives the way we want to as best we can,” said Arnold.

Health experts ask you to have small gatherings outside, enforce mask wearing, wash your hands and practice social distancing.

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“If people don’t do this over the next few weeks we might see a rise in cases again,” said Arnold.

Experts encourage anyone with an underlying health issue to take your conditions into consideration before making any plans.

“People need to do what they’re comfortable with. Maybe they will just spend time with their family or have to be even more isolated,” said Arnold.

Doctors predict Labor Day will set the tone moving forward as seasons change and the flu arrives.

“Between flu vaccines, masking and social distancing it’s my hope it won’t be too complicated,” said Arnold.

That Institute for Health Metrics model also said the US could reach 620 thousand deaths if we ease up too much on restrictions and precautions.